Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.933549 3.494303 4.103651 4.811416 5.607220 6.470760 7.474953
2026-01-11 2.254295 3.016387 3.914150 5.034965 6.381393 7.931518 9.835021
2026-01-18 1.687352 2.535174 3.615052 5.055970 6.890992 9.112498 11.965102
2026-01-25 1.214282 2.061145 3.229335 4.892490 7.129469 9.963474 13.748237
2026-02-01 0.885865 1.703148 2.923010 4.769384 7.379281 10.820824 15.574526
2026-02-08 0.649479 1.419709 2.663328 4.658835 7.611535 11.647212 17.388495
2026-02-15 0.485597 1.208502 2.468798 4.604631 7.898624 12.545566 19.327512
2026-02-22 0.404319 1.123557 2.459230 4.823038 8.586976 14.025358 22.114490
2026-03-01 0.312126 0.987161 2.333982 4.833486 8.951751 15.053221 24.308635
2026-03-08 0.212743 0.796014 2.068724 4.568974 8.855481 15.390426 25.524390
2026-03-15 0.146820 0.654989 1.867427 4.382250 8.855462 15.854259 26.923435
2026-03-22 0.125394 0.627937 1.896478 4.616231 9.561182 17.416543 29.982984
2026-03-29 0.111616 0.621032 1.972598 4.954238 10.477089 19.363057 33.713824
2026-04-05 0.096353 0.602344 2.018468 5.237279 11.314873 21.221502 37.375374
2026-04-12 0.073640 0.542746 1.954421 5.292261 11.753351 22.462322 40.139565
2026-04-19 0.049405 0.456279 1.801429 5.142829 11.810553 23.086473 41.973317
2026-04-26 0.032803 0.386684 1.673425 5.026785 11.914315 23.782834 43.932390
2026-05-03 0.021187 0.327706 1.557441 4.918790 12.018994 24.475952 45.896720
2026-05-10 0.013792 0.283219 1.471520 4.866544 12.222614 25.337811 48.147694
2026-05-17 0.011287 0.275111 1.502784 5.096815 12.992138 27.190801 52.034735
2026-05-24 0.007467 0.244669 1.448203 5.109311 13.325730 28.299191 54.741909
2026-05-31 0.003404 0.191487 1.289279 4.834385 13.053788 28.334379 55.693330
2026-06-07 0.001459 0.153316 1.169599 4.640072 12.928612 28.615756 57.047810